Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.203715 0.229658 0.257059 0.288099 0.322227 0.358546 0.400058
2025-06-22 0.168464 0.203333 0.242233 0.288645 0.342303 0.402173 0.473801
2025-06-29 0.142781 0.182980 0.230007 0.288656 0.359374 0.441413 0.543263
2025-07-06 0.122956 0.166426 0.219510 0.288366 0.374505 0.477846 0.610245
2025-07-13 0.109102 0.155203 0.213717 0.292316 0.393867 0.519289 0.684362
2025-07-20 0.099378 0.147925 0.211737 0.300165 0.417714 0.566617 0.767206
2025-07-27 0.089175 0.138702 0.206030 0.302137 0.433353 0.603537 0.837763
2025-08-03 0.082230 0.133154 0.204529 0.309166 0.455469 0.649204 0.920898
2025-08-10 0.076438 0.128573 0.203774 0.316780 0.478281 0.696240 1.007149
2025-08-17 0.068768 0.120333 0.196944 0.315016 0.487536 0.724844 1.069146
2025-08-24 0.062499 0.113582 0.191644 0.314850 0.498634 0.755940 1.135134
2025-08-31 0.056800 0.107138 0.186204 0.313902 0.508204 0.784848 1.198614
2025-09-07 0.053215 0.103969 0.185777 0.320764 0.529957 0.832434 1.290984
2025-09-14 0.048534 0.098451 0.181140 0.320689 0.541122 0.864982 1.362821
2025-09-21 0.044295 0.093259 0.176582 0.320323 0.551615 0.896689 1.434235
2025-09-28 0.040472 0.088407 0.172169 0.319795 0.561624 0.927787 1.505480
2025-10-05 0.037816 0.085453 0.170734 0.323983 0.579097 0.970513 1.595079
2025-10-12 0.036064 0.084055 0.171875 0.332470 0.603691 1.024742 1.703367
2025-10-19 0.033514 0.080801 0.169427 0.334579 0.617840 1.063137 1.788533
2025-10-26 0.031943 0.079376 0.170176 0.342213 0.641301 1.116642 1.898175
2025-11-02 0.030566 0.078211 0.171296 0.350490 0.666053 1.172799 2.013272
2025-11-09 0.028042 0.074307 0.166914 0.348563 0.673311 1.201149 2.085533
2025-11-16 0.025941 0.071102 0.163626 0.348377 0.683423 1.234225 2.165910